Just let's examine how the 'favourite' fared in every 'maiden' to have been run in Mainland Britain between October 16, 2008 and October 22, 2008 inclusive.
Any race in which two or more contenders went off 'joint favourite' have been excluded from the list.
October 22 - Bath - Surrealism - WON 6/4
October 22 - Bath - Fitz Flyer - 3RD 8/13
October 22 - Bath - Mehendi - 2ND 11/4
October 22 - Bath - Losso The Moon - UNPLACED 10/11
October 22 - Great Leighs - Wahaja - WON 8/11
October 22 - Kempton - Redding Colliery - WON 11/4
October 22 - Kempton - Isobelonabicycle - 3RD 4/5
October 21 - Lingfield - Test Match - 3RD 6/5
October 21 - Lingfield - Our Day Will Come - 3RD 2/1
October 21 - Yarmouth - Mayalah - UNPLACED 9/4
October 21 - Yarmouth - Mezenah - 3RD 4/7
October 20 - Windsor - Kheylefs Silver - WON 5/2
October 19 - Southwell - Unbiased - 2ND 15/8
October 19 - Southwell - Ysing Yi - UNPLACED 5/2
October 19 - Southwell Manchestermaverick - UNPLACED EVENS
October 18 - Catterick - Goliaths Boy - WON 8/15
October 18 - Catterick - Do The Deal - 3RD 5/2
October 18 - Wolverhampton - Royal Degree - UNPLACED 3/1
October 17 - Newmarket - Legislate - 3RD 7/2
October 17 - Newmarket - Alhaque - UNPLACED 15/8
October 17 - Newmarket - Run For The Hills - WON 13/8
October 17 - Redcar - Taqdeyr - 2ND 8/13
October 17 - Redcar - Poppiel - 3RD 5/6
October 17 - Redcar - Forgotten Dreams - UNPLACED
October 17 - Redcar - Dahama - UNPLACED 100/30
October 16 - Brighton - Roman Glory - 2ND 8/11
October 16 - Great Leighs - Audemar - WON 1/5
October 16 - Nottingham - Gilt Edge Girl - 3RD 15/8
October 16 - Nottingham - Covert Ambition - WON 15/8
October 16 - Nottingham - Union Island - 2ND 9/4
October16 - Nottingham - Big Bound - UNPLACED 4/5
After studying these results, you may wish to know that 22 favourites won or finished in the frame from the 31 contenders - that's a 71% strike-rate.
Let's now have a close look at the
online betting prices that the nine unplaced horses went off at -
10/11, 9/4, 5/2, evens, 3/1, 15/8, 2/1, 100/30 and 4/5.
But, most importantly, have you guessed how many runners from the list that went off at 8/11 or shorter either won or were placed?
If you look at the prices in bold type in the right-hand column, you will find the answer. It may look too good to be true, but all seven runners managed to reach the frame - now that's a 100 % strike-rate!
So please be selective and go short on the maidens, and you will be hopefully on the right track.