101 replies to this topic

[spreadeck]

Beaten all ends up yesterday, hoping for better today although there are some funny end of season numbers flying around today - difficult to fathom.

Sunday's 9 Live Games:
Leicester v Cardiff (13.15)
Hearts v Celtic (13.30)
Rangers v Motherwell (13.30)
Burnley v Tottenham (16.00)
Man Utd v Stoke (16.00)
Chelsea v Wigan (16.00)
Hull v Liverpool (16.00)
Inter v Chievo (14.00)
Benfica v Rio Ave (18.00)

Selections;
Sell aggregate time of 1st away goal @ 537 M/U 508. 0.348pts profit
Buy bookings @ 325 M/U 280. 3.375pts loss
Sell total goals @ 27.8 (0.5pts) M/U 38. 5.1pts loss

Good luck!

[Mark_Layton]

Beaten all ends up yesterday, hoping for better today although there are some funny end of season numbers flying around today - difficult to fathom.

Sunday's 9 Live Games:
Leicester v Cardiff (13.15)
Hearts v Celtic (13.30)
Rangers v Motherwell (13.30)
Burnley v Tottenham (16.00)
Man Utd v Stoke (16.00)
Chelsea v Wigan (16.00)
Hull v Liverpool (16.00)
Inter v Chievo (14.00)
Benfica v Rio Ave (18.00)

Selections;
Sell aggregate time of 1st away goal @ 537
Buy bookings @ 325
Sell total goals @ 27.8 (0.5pts)

Good luck!

That's a lot of goals 27.8!

[spreadeck]

Desperate weekend on these, with close to half of our profits wiped out thanks mainly to a goal crazy Sunday where 38 goals were scored in the 9 live matches. There may be a lesson here in avoiding the end of season fixtures, but I'm not yet convinced?!

Anyway, the numbers...........

Weekend LIVE; 14.557pts loss
Weekend LIVE Overall; 16.584pts profit

[Mark_Layton]

Desperate weekend on these, with close to half of our profits wiped out thanks mainly to a goal crazy Sunday where 38 goals were scored in the 9 live matches. There may be a lesson here in avoiding the end of season fixtures, but I'm not yet convinced?!

Anyway, the numbers...........

Weekend LIVE; 14.557pts loss
Weekend LIVE Overall; 16.584pts profit

As per a previous post Alex, I won't do final (or early) season matches - the numbers are ridiculous!!

[spreadeck]

As per a previous post Alex, I won't do final (or early) season matches - the numbers are ridiculous!!

I know exactly what you mean Mark, and some of these recent results would bear that out, but I still think you can often find value in end of season matches, and I think I've managed to do that in some spreads, but not enough.

It is just so unpredictable, but for every crazy 7, 8 or 9 goal match, there's another which fizzles out at 0-0 or 1-0. I watched my team Celtic at Hearts last Sunday, and the game had nothing riding on it really, so was maybe a bit less intense than these games generally are, but in terms of goal chances and all out attacking, it was normal, no more or less than I would usually expect. Dunno, if it was easy..........!!

[Mark_Layton]

I know exactly what you mean Mark, and some of these recent results would bear that out, but I still think you can often find value in end of season matches, and I think I've managed to do that in some spreads, but not enough.

It is just so unpredictable, but for every crazy 7, 8 or 9 goal match, there's another which fizzles out at 0-0 or 1-0. I watched my team Celtic at Hearts last Sunday, and the game had nothing riding on it really, so was maybe a bit less intense than these games generally are, but in terms of goal chances and all out attacking, it was normal, no more or less than I would usually expect. Dunno, if it was easy..........!!

Yeah I see that, but Fulham (for example) had 9 men missing (cos of their upcoming final) and Wigan letting 8 in was a bit much!

[Mark_Layton]

add to that the Burnley v Spurs match !!! ridiculous amount of goals

[spreadeck]

add to that the Burnley v Spurs match !!! ridiculous amount of goals

Crazy, I know! You've got 2 games at Chelsea and Inter with lots on them, 15 goals between them, another massive game at Leicester and quite a big one at Benfica, 4 goals between them. Then you've got meaningless games at Burnley and Rangers with 6 goals in each, and another at Hull with zilch.

[Mark_Layton]

Crazy, I know! You've got 2 games at Chelsea and Inter with lots on them, 15 goals between them, another massive game at Leicester and quite a big one at Benfica, 4 goals between them. Then you've got meaningless games at Burnley and Rangers with 6 goals in each, and another at Hull with zilch.

Liverpool numbers are all in the air now for next season!!! Benitez out and a few players will confuse the picture more, especially away from home!

[spreadeck]

Saturday's 7 Live Games:
Huddersfield v Millwall (12:15)
Chelsea v Portsmouth (15:00)
Dundee Utd v Ross County (15:00)
Aldershot v Rotherham (18:00)
Werder Bremen v Bayern Munich (19:00)
AC Milan v Juventus (19:45)
Almeria v Sevilla (21:00)

You'll need to phone for these, as Sporting have suspended them online...........

Selections;
Sell aggregate time of 1st home goal @ 347 (0.5pts) M/U 448. 1.212pts loss
Sell aggregate time of 1st away goal @ 394 (0.5pts) M/U 499. 1.26pts loss

Good luck!

[spreadeck]

Losing Saturday, hopefully we can recoup today. Unusual mix of team for what will probably be the last of these till next season - it's always much more difficult when dealing with finals on neutral venues for example.

Anyway, here we are.........

Sunday's 7 Live Games:
Dag and Red v Morecambe (13.30)
Brechin v Cowdenbeath (15.00)
Oxford v York (17.00)
Augsburg v Nurnberg (17.00)
Siena v Inter (14.00)
Barcelona v Valladolid (18.00)
Malaga v Real Madrid (18.00)

Selection;
Sell aggregate 1st home goal @ 365 M/U 325. 1.0pts profit

Good luck!

[spreadeck]

Disappointing end to the season continued last weekend, but at least the losses weren't heavy like the week before.

Overall a nice profit from these, but the bookings were easily the best performer, and I'm lumping the markets together with their comparables over on the main thread for analysis.

Weekend LIVE; 1.472pts loss
Weekend LIVE Overall; 15.112pts profit

That's probably it for this thread, I'll place everything on the main thread from now.