Browsing the internet searching for information relating to a subject that you perhaps know little about, can sometimes be a bewildering and possibly confusing experience, so when something comes along that provides EVERYTHING you need "under the hood", then it's happy days!
Laytheodds is one such place, with our expert authors covering every angle in the world of gambling and trading, and pointing our readers in the direction of the best services, strategies and advice on everything from Betfair trading, to Poker, Lay Betting and all points in between.
If you are interested in Sports Arbitrage, and let's face it, why wouldn't you be, then let me direct you to the place you simply must visit.
Sports Arbitrage World is the premier service provider for everything you need to start building your betting bank through arbing, and it comes recommended by the UK's leading sports arbitrage doyen Alan Seymour.
There are plenty of services out there which don't meet the requirements for a successful arber, and Alan is not slow in highlighting the shysters, but similarly, he hands out the plaudits where they are due, and Sports Arbitrage World come top of the pile with the experts.
I will review the products and services they provide in more detail later, but their Arbalarm trading platform, Arbsurfer browser and the Arbaccounts package for recording trades, will furnish you with the very best tool kit for maximising the profits available in arbitrage.
In addition, they also provide a top notch Trader Support service, and the website includes lots of knowledge and guidance if you are new to this area of investment, and an active blog so that you can liaise with fellow arbers.
Arbitrage is a fantastic way to create a genuine first or second tax free income, and the rewards can be outstanding, but like anything else, it requires some hard work, research and expert assistance, and of course the necessary tools for the job.
What you will find at Sports Arbitrage World will make that hard work and research more than a little easier, because you will need look no further, and the quality of the software they offer will help you increase that betting bank more quickly than you could imagine.
Take a look, see what you think, I'm sure you will be impressed. There are plenty of trial offers, and a special Free Arbs on Friday promotion to whet your appetite, but once you see the calibre of the offerings on site, you'll probably be left wishing you had got here sooner!
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There are some very “sharp minds” on Betting Exchanges such as Betfair and Betdaq, and even the old enemy the bookmakers make extensive use of the Exchanges to lay off liabilities, and in many cases it is the Exchanges which now drive the betting markets, and in particular on UK Horse Racing. With this in mind we need to constantly be looking for new angles and strategies, and one excellent Free Resource that I use on a regular basis to carry out this research is on the Adrian Massey website.
The site contains a wealth of statistics for horse racing in the UK in addition to unique ratings which are updated on a daily basis. Everything from how often favourites win races, which jockeys and trainers are in form and what the draw advantage is if any at various UK race courses. The statistics are derived from the results of over 100,000 UK horse races dating back to 1991, The site owner Adrian Massey has run in the London marathon for the last 8 years and has raised more than £150,000 for charity. A mark of respect for his site is highlighted by the fact that much of the money raised was donated by users of the site.
There are so many methods and ideas that can be checked out by research tools that the site provides by simply ticking or un-ticking the very clear and simple to use parameters / categories. Your chosen parameters then provide you with a results section based on the factors that you are looking to research.
One simple idea that I had a look at recently, was how does the weight a horse is set to carry in a Handicap Chase affect the result. In theory if the Official Handicapper is doing his job correctly the different weights allotted are supposed to give each runner an equal opportunity to win. Well interestingly the higher the weight carried compared to the average weight in the race the more runners that they would beat, BUT also the more money you would lose buy backing them. The better horses based on past form are asked to carry the most weight but also they tend to go off at shorter prices because of the strength of this form is there for everyone to see. The lower weighted horses are both younger and less experienced, or are possibly older and on the decline, and the handicapper is relenting by reducing its rating.
Either way and without any further checks you can actually make a profit by simply backing “horses running in Handicap Chases that are carrying 14lb (or more) LESS weight than the average for the race”.At Industry SP the profit is actually +16% but would be considerably more if using the Betfair SP facility.More on Making the Best of Free Resources – Part Five
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Well done to those that followed me in on the HT/FT system that I outlined on Friday. It came good at the weekend with 6/10 selections being draws at half-time and 5/6 giving a positive result come full-time. For those who followed the cautious route, like myself, it meant a 3.5 point profit, those with a more adventurous approach, taking the away win gained a 9 point profit and for any who went both ways, it led to a 12.5 points profit, an excellent result all round.
If you want to find the system I use, scroll down the page until you come to my posting last Friday. Or you can now find it in the Football Systems section.
On the Friday Footy tips front, the lay did us proud but Blackpool let us down at home to Leicester but no damage done to the bank, which is still well in profit since we started this spot. It is showing a very healthy 20% ROI.
Yesterday saw the draw for Euro 2012, to be held jointly in Poland and Ukraine. After the stressful week he has had, I think Fabio will have been pleased to get over to Warsaw and he must have liked the group he got, with only the Swiss as a possible fly in the ointment. The Republic of Ireland and Trappatoni should also be pleased, although they do have to face 4 Eastern European opponents. Their main opposition comes in the form of Russia and Slovakia but they must feel they have a realistic chance of making the finals.
Unfortunately the same can't be said for Scotland and Northern Ireland, with main rivals Spain and Italy, European and World champions repectively and also fearsome opposition in the Czech Republic and Serbia as well. The qualifiers take place from September 2010 to October 2011. Good luck to all the Home Nations, I think some of them are going to need it.
We have been following Psychic Soccer Profits over the last 3 weeks during its' trial period and I have to report that this past week it has taken an horrendous battering. Co-incidentally about a week ago it opened up a chat room to discuss the system and a very entertaining week it has been in there, I can tell you. PSP is an in-play football lay service and in the chat room this week we have been following Scott, the author of PSP, as he has grappled with setback after setback, all with good humour it has to be said.
People in the chat room have been giving vent to their frustrations with the system, with some good suggestions that are being taken on board by Scott. To that end, it is unlikely that Psychic Soccer Profits will be launched this Friday as had been expected but further due deliberation will be made before it sees the light of day in an official capacity. Please go and take a look at PSP and you can still join the free trial, also you may wish to join in with the chat room, which becomes quite addictive and you also get plenty of tips from the people on there, so it is well worth a visit, very entertaining. Click here for more details.
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A little over six weeks ago a new lay system hit the markets. It was titled "Steady Profits" and, as part of my duties for LTO, I got hold of a copy for review. It was delivered to my mailbox as an e-book, in other words a pdf file, and consisted of about 28 pages. As ever, and I loathe this, the first 10 pages were full of B.S!! I took one look at the "rules" and had a good mind to file it along with the hundreds of others that are destined for that mythical drawer.
However, I asked one of our members to test it for me. Unfortunately, I lost the results when my computer malfunctioned. Anyway, the point of this is to let you know that in the six weeks, the system has gone from whatever pounds it cost originally to be FREE!
However, please don't get carried away and think you will be getting a free bargain – this system is atrocious and has to be treated with caution, in fact, please don't follow it! The strike rate will be very good, I admit that, but ONE winner and you could be in BIG trouble.
Spend a few quid on one of our recommended systems -
or one of the two recommended subscription based…
Until next time, and remember If in doubt, leave it out!!!!
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Sometimes its a thing of beauty when you come across a poker player who is so clueless that you almost feel sorry to take his money. This happened to me this week with a friendly Russian chap by the name of Oleg555. He is clearly a newbie with too much money and felt like he had a genuine chance to win, with of course disastrous consequences. I published a list of ten exciting hands I played vs Oleg555. Let me know how he played and look out for him at the tables (last I saw him he was at play money so it might be too late but there are many others like him…)
This is another fantastic reason to join Betfair Poker, to play these clueless drunk fish like Oleg555. He will surely make the top of the fish list in the next update, I guarantee it!
In other news, I have reviewed an exciting new product by the name of Pokah Face. For those of you who play live poker, you will find it very useful as it will teach you on how to pick up great tells and make more money. Related to tells is bluffing, I wrote an article on best ways to bluff and when not to bluff.
I've also updated the Online Gaming Jobs Category with some interesting openings including working as Junior Football Trader in the UK.
Lastly, there's a new section within the Poker Section regarding happenings within the Online Gaming Industry including gambling research material and compliance/regulatory updates within the industry. When will US players finally be allowed to play on all sites ffs!? Soon, it seems.
Have a great weekend and be safe!
BrasilNut
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Forex Ambush 2.0 is a specialist program that I have written about and allows you to receive forex signals so it takes the guess work out of trading.
The system designers also now have an automated feature so its completely hands free. For those of you that are like me who work as well as trade, this added feature becomes invaluable and allows you to make money in true turnkey fashion…
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A few months back I came across an article that I thought would help everyone in their lay betting. It was written by Jonathon Burgess of False Favourites fame. I have reproduced part of it here.
The following 5 key points will help you to assess races objectively and save valuable time when form reading. The new racing post.com has great functionality to help us be more defined and objective in our assessment.
Please bear in mind the betting forecast is often a good reflection of horse’s chances. Many of the factors we are looking for may have already been taken into consideration by the professional race readers, however their assessment is usually ratings based and often there are speculative factors included in their analysis. It is these factors that we are trying to uncover that will determine a horses true chance of winning.
Five key points to assess races objectively, and save valuable time when form reading.
1: Assess one race code at a time. Flat –Jumps –A.W. are completely different. Although there are generic similarities, specializing in one on any given day causes less confusion.
2: (K.I.S) Keep it simple – Start with one race meeting and look at 6 -12 runner races at first. This means fewer horses to assess.
3: Avoid races that are difficult to assess objectively, such as…
- Low class A.W. races contested by very poor horses (Often these types beat each other every other week making a nonsense of the form book)
- Maiden races full of unraced horses. (These races are based around guess work since no form is available)
- Selling races featuring a bunch of no hopers. Often the form figures will be difficult to interoperate accurately because what’s on offer is very poor.
4: Eliminate the no hopers from a race. Basically get rid of those animals that have a very limited chance, usually those rated well below the first 3or 4 in the betting forecast.
5: Assess the prevailing race conditions and ability of the horses left to handle those conditions, are there any proven performers. Likely you’ll be looking at the first 3 or 4 in the betting forecast in more detail?
- Look at factors such as CLASS, DISTANCE, GOING and FITNESS. These tend to be the most important factors regarding a horse’s winning chances.
- Eliminate any horse that’s not proven under the conditions or going to give your lay selection a run for the money.
- If you’re left with 2 or even 3 horses that appear to be in with a chance then it a case of picking the weakest amongst them.
If you do look at the races objectively as above, look at say, the first 5 in the betting – cross out any that are highlighted from the above and you should have a reasonable lay selection (or two) remaining. So it takes a bit of time, so what! We are trying to make our lay betting pay.
Always remember – If in doubt, leave it out
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A lot to get through today. As well as our usual Friday Footy tips, I will be explaining a method I use regularly to get odds that are 4x bigger than what you get for the win market, we will be looking at a master system from that football master Frank Belanger and I will also be giving you 5 more sites where you can pick up lucrative football tips that are absolutely free!!
We will start in a football market that I play regularly but is underused generally and that is the HT/FT market. Here you have to predict the result at half time and at full time to collect. However, whereas you may get 6/4 for predicting the outright winner of a game, by playing in the HT/FT market for the same game you would get 6/1, that is a massive 4x the odds you get for playing in the winner only market.
When I go through the list of games for the weekend, I am looking for games where both sides are evenly matched by odds, so they are both in the 13/10-7/4 range. You will find about 10 of these games on a weekend. You can play on all 10 or just use 5 of them. So for the first part of the bet, I am going to say it will be a draw at half time, they are evenly matched so the chances of this are good. Now for the second part of the bet, you have to predict the final outcome. This part is easy because I am going to predict a Home Win, 45 % of all games in England are won by the home team. So my overall prediction is Draw/Home Win. For this type of match you would get odds in the region of 5/1-6/1.
Let's examine the maths behind this. For these type of games, predicting a Draw at half time pays around even money. We know that 45% of games are won by the home team, so this would just be a shade of odds against, putting these together you should be getting around 3/1 or just over but in fact you are getting 5/1-6/1, it is a no-brainer. If you play on 5 matches you just need 1 of them to win to make big profits. Simples!!!
People have different betting styles and for those of you who need more than just a couple of football bets a week there is a service which was brought out in the middle of last year by Frank Belanger, that delivers as many football bets per week as you can handle. They come from leagues all over the world. Yes they are short prices but yes the strike rate is over 64% and it generates over 150 points pure profit each year.
Soccer Betting Masters deals in different footbal markets from more than 150 leagues throughout the world. You are never short of a betting opportunity. The selections are delivered to your inbox each day and with there being so many you are able to choose which ones to follow and which ones to leave. This is something you should be interested in and you can get more details here.
In the Research section of the Football site I have put another 5 websites where you can bona-fide football tips absolutely buckshee free. You will find them at the bottom of the page.
Finally for today, I come to the Friday Footy Tips. Today we are going to be looking at the Championship.More on Want to Become a Soccer Betting Master?
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I have mentioned in a few of the recent articles about the need to treat the current horse race form and performances with a pinch of salt. As we have seen, so many of the meetings have been lost to dismal weather conditions, and those that have gone ahead have featured the going description “heavy” in many of them.
When the going goes this way the form book really struggles to make sense of many of the results, as most of the more recent past runs will have occurred under different circumstances. Horses that have shown a preference for slow and softer conditions suddenly show much improved form and can be very difficult to find.
I have been keeping my stakes to the bear minimum and will continue to do so until the conditions improve. With this in mind I thought I would use the time to re-visit a couple of methods that specialise in trying to find those elusive really big priced winners, or in the case of the second method high priced place horses.
First of all I had a look at the performance of a method that arrived in a blaze of glory after last years Cheltenham Festival. Smoke and Mirrors uses the live market to make its selections and has a combination of triggers which I have found a little confusing when things can change quite quickly in the minutes and seconds before the off. I decided to stick to one of it’s method’s which is simple to use and in the past has highlighted some really nice priced winners.
Between Monday 1st Feb and up to the end of yesterday’s racing (Thursday 4th Feb) 25 horses were found using this one selection method, and amazingly amongst these were the following:
2nd33/1 Adam de Beaulieu
Won 25/1 Hucking Hero
2nd14/1 Jazrawy
Won 20/1 Gaily Noble
2nd 9/2 Alfred The ordinary
Won 20/1 Viking Blond
Won 33/1 Roaming West
3rd 16/1 Mister Teddy
2nd 25/1 The Cuckoo
3rd16/1 Muktasb
2nd14/1 Sir Sandicliffe
Simply placing a £10 level stake to win at starting prices on all of the selections would have produced a staggering profit of £760.00, but forgive me for mentioning it once more, but on bigger priced fancies we really should be using the Betfair SP, if we had, the profits would have grown to £1311.16 which is 75.52% more.More on Big Priced Winners….How do we find them???
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Well do you? We certainly all need a cash cow and probably most of us could do with a new boss as well. Now I don't have any money trees hanging around and you may have to put up with that grumpy old person in the office each morning but what I do have is the Football Cashbuilder and the BOSS software, both of which will make life worth living again and the Psychic Soccer Profits is just a phenomenon.
Psychic Soccer Profits is due for release on 12 February and I have been part of the trial period that has been going on for 3 weeks now. During that time we have had 31 selections, of which 26 have been successful, almost an 84% strike rate, pretty impressive, you would have to agree. Their aim during this month long trial has been to double the bank. I started the trial with a bank of £1000 and as I write this piece it now stands at £1550, an increase of 55% and with 9 days to go, they are well on the way to fulfilling their promise.
The Football Cashbuilder comes from John Dixon, who has been using the system for over 3 years now and has amassed over £200k from it. The Cashbuilder is a simple and unique football betting system that delivers consistent results with minimum risk to your bank. It does this by using a low risk staking strategy, unique in its' implementation. The system is very easy to operate, taking only a few minutes a day and can be used in conjunction with any bookmaker, in the high street or on-line, as well as with any of the exchanges. It can equally well be used for any league in the world.
The stated intentions of the system are to double your betting bank every few weeks. It works on a simple betting concept that takes advantage of fixed odds price errors. The system itself is nothing to do with, arbitrage, progressive betting, high risk staking or in-play strategies. Absolutely no experience of football or betting is required to be able to use this system. You can use it 365 days a year if you so wish and build up your bank gradually. It really is a rock solid system that is worth investigating.
Just as an aside, a nice little website where you can get free football tips from around all the European Leagues, in all the different football markets, is in the Research section now, you can find it here.
The BOSS software has been and still is, an integral part of my football betting portfolio. I recently did a review of the product, which is worth reading. It is a beautifully crafted piece of software that is simplicity itself. Within 15 minutes you will have it installed, have read through the instructions and be making your first bet. Again, this can be used all year long in any league in the world.
This software will be particularly beneficial when the World Cup comes around. I have found it invaluable in International competition and the European Cup matches. Based on just one of the football markets, it will allow you to become an expert in that area, an area from which you will gain great benefits.
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