254 replies to this topic

[99reds]

In answer,

Not always (you're still looking for outcomes)

Depends on what the actual odds are

It's hard to say but I played

Aston Villa Vs Burnley today

And I'm playing Real Madrid Vs Villareal now.

Which obviously both won with just bet 1 which wins me £36 per time less commission.

I am making this too easy!

From what you say about winning £36 if Bet 1 wins, I take it that £36 is your 12% ROI profit and you play on games that are around 3.4 to lay 0-0 at HT and around 15.0 to back 0-0 at FT.

[kmabet]

5

[99reds]

I don't know why you would make that supposition REDS?

What I mean by winning £36 is I am giving you a clue as to my staking.

Losing 12% less than you win (Like I do) is not the same as winning 12% ROI.

I misunderstood earlier then. I thought you meant you made a 12% ROI if Bet 1 won and you made 8% ROI if Bet 1 lost.

I realised you were trying to give a clue about staking when you mentioned £36 profit.

If it is 0-0 at HT do you always have to adjust Bet 2?

Have changed the title for you.

[kmabet]

A quote

"Nothing in the world can take the place of persistence. Talent will not; nothing is more common than unsuccessful men with talent. Genius will not; unrewarded genius is almost a proverb. Education will not; the world is full of educated derelicts. Persistence and determination alone are omnipotent."

[99reds]

If bet 1 loses, you will always have to adjust bet 2 and place bet 3.


A quote

"Nothing in the world can take the place of persistence. Talent will not; nothing is more common than unsuccessful men with talent. Genius will not; unrewarded genius is almost a proverb. Education will not; the world is full of educated derelicts. Persistence and determination alone are omnipotent."


And something to consider...

If your trades are on one market only and
if you win £1000 and lose £950 then your commission is £2.50

If your trades are on two markets and
if you win £1000 on the first market
and lose £950 on the second
then your commission is £50

Your point is well made with regards to trading on two markets and the affect of commission, from which I summise that Bet 2 and 3 are both on the Correct Score market.

[kmabet]

6

[99reds]

You are about the best at this that I have come across!

Such simple clues if you only have the intellect to unravel them!

Your genius is surpassed only by my own!!!

Is Bet 3 (or part of Bet 3) ever placed before Half Time?

Is Bet 2 the uniformly red market?

[lowereast]

Kam I'm very intrigued by this that I've gone from lurking to signing up lol, even if I cant crack it, it has given a couple of ideas of trying to use something from it

its the amount of bet 2 adjustment at HT that needs to be found I would be happy just to cover the loss of bet 1 if it is 0-0 at HT

[kmabet]

7

[kmabet]

7

[lowereast]

You will not be able to achieve this at HT

do you lay some of the 0-0 off at half time and then maybe back 0-1 and 1-0 although this would also need trading if a goal is scored am I getting warm or like the weather outside freezing cold?

[kmabet]

7

[lowereast]

You cannot make enough equity from trading the 0-0 FT to cover your loss from bet 1 and also your prospective loss if the game ends 0-0.

By betting in the structure you have described, you are only making your potential negative equity situation worse.

cheers fella, thats me done for

[kmabet]

8

[Steve.C]

Hi Kma

So you lay 1 point at the ht 0-0 odds, and back ft 0-0 @0.60 points using games with a strong home team advantage, if a goal is scored in the 1st half then you make 12% roi......if not you lay back some of your potential winnings on the 0-0 back bet to reduce the lost lay bet and........then place bet 3 which is.....